Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.440119 0.479743 0.522823 0.573409 0.631527 0.696625 0.775655
2024-12-29 0.369645 0.426767 0.494542 0.582259 0.694890 0.837761 1.038098
2025-01-05 0.311607 0.374468 0.453861 0.564439 0.719637 0.938653 1.289976
2025-01-12 0.266612 0.329486 0.412506 0.534586 0.718156 1.000885 1.511710
2025-01-19 0.234057 0.295457 0.379350 0.508135 0.713072 1.053396 1.739503
2025-01-26 0.219009 0.282730 0.373040 0.518391 0.765101 1.213343 2.253629
2025-02-02 0.211719 0.279602 0.379501 0.548533 0.856532 1.477797 3.203195
2025-02-09 0.199375 0.267563 0.370648 0.551599 0.899596 1.662971 4.148042
2025-02-16 0.185521 0.251852 0.354097 0.538492 0.907885 1.773644 5.004085
2025-02-23 0.175914 0.241720 0.345271 0.537549 0.940506 1.959693 6.474241
2025-03-02 0.165725 0.229820 0.332282 0.526889 0.949591 2.088078 7.979307
2025-03-09 0.158259 0.221638 0.324689 0.525316 0.978868 2.292882 10.595068
2025-03-16 0.149533 0.211214 0.313004 0.515566 0.990360 2.463751 13.965379
2025-03-23 0.145009 0.207420 0.312710 0.529276 1.066146 2.929498 24.859069
2025-03-30 0.137018 0.197349 0.300377 0.516254 1.068937 3.121557 35.865083
2025-04-06 0.128088 0.185173 0.283300 0.490990 1.032246 3.121288 43.785818
2025-04-13 0.120216 0.174370 0.268004 0.467989 0.997627 3.115993 53.796048
2025-04-20 0.117169 0.171587 0.267298 0.477233 1.060705 3.668871 149.832439
2025-04-27 0.116390 0.172626 0.273816 0.503955 1.188472 4.812325 7334.947792
2025-05-04 0.112906 0.168687 0.270392 0.506692 1.239101 5.572802 NaN
2025-05-11 0.108162 0.162247 0.261581 0.495127 1.236084 5.920574 NaN
2025-05-18 0.104863 0.158224 0.257280 0.494298 1.273149 6.740308 NaN
2025-05-25 0.100939 0.152874 0.249946 0.484871 1.274863 7.235838 NaN